Global Investment View - April 2020

Thursday 16 April 2020

Global Investment View

Contagion speed is key for markets to reach turning point

Markets (financial cycle) are leading the economic cycle and wil bottom out before the end of the coronavirus pandemic (COVID-19). However, they will stabilise once reassured on three points.

  1. The cyclical pattern of the pandemic, or when there is some sign of an improvement on the speed of the contagion. 
  2. The ‘whatever is necessary’ tactics of the fiscal and monetary authorities.
  3. The short end of the credit curve and core bond yields.

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